Sales
France Retail: retailers cautiously optimistic for the holidays
October brought good news for footwear sales and retailer confidence is also on the rise, despite negative footwear inflation and rising costs. However, the picture isn’t clear regarding consumer confidence, which fell to a five-month low in November as households worried about the economic outlook in light of France’s difficult political environment. Will this weigh on footwear sales in the last two months of the year, or will recent news that consumers are planning to spend more on the festive season prevail?
Netherlands Retail: good expectations for the footwear holiday season
After record growth between July and September, footwear sales fell abruptly in October, accompanied by a hiccup in consumer confidence. But that’s no cause for despair: lower footwear inflation has kept footwear prices relatively stable and there has been a recent upturn in retailer confidence. This could bode well for the future of footwear imports, especially with the festive season just around the corner. In this context, the online channel will continue to be favoured by Dutch consumers to shop
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UK retailers eye continued growth from Black Friday sales
Following a slow start to the festive season and subdued consumer confidence, UK retailers are hopeful that Black Friday's boost in spending will sustain momentum in the lead-up to Christmas
E-commerce led the way on US Black Friday
US retail sales were up by 3.4% on Black Friday compared to the same day last year, according to Mastercard SpendingPulse, driven by a significant 14.6% increase in online sales
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Japan Retail: the picture is unclear for both consumers and retailers
Contrary to what was suggested in our previous flash, fashion retail sales have fallen sharply since April, by a total of 22.8%, while total retail sales have remained somewhat stable. In this context, the low footwear inflation in Japan, now close to 0%, tends to indicate a lack of demand. Perhaps the growth in consumer spending and tourism will help to turn the situation around, especially given the falling yen in September. However, for now, the future remains unclear for all
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US Retail: expectations on the rise for the last quarter
The summer months have brought relief to footwear retailers, as sales in the category now appear to be on an upward trend. Although consumers remain cautious, the slowdown in employment and inflation is somehow starting to lift their spirits and retailers are showing signs of restocking. As the winter holidays approach, and despite question marks over the geopolitical turmoil and the upcoming presidential election, it’s safe to say that expectations are on the rise
UK Retail: good signs for the run-up to Christmas
The cold weather in July did not bring good news for the UK retail sector, but the following two months spiced things up again. Fashion retail sales appear to be back on track with the wider economy, as continued falling inflation has led to lower prices. Consumers are still reluctant to spend given the difficulties of recent years, but the challenge for retailers is now to keep up and not fall behind again in order to boost demand in the months leading to Christmas
A favourable September for UK retail
As inflation fell to its lowest level in three and a half years, UK retail sales rose by 3.6% year-on-year in value terms in September, according to the latest ONS figures
German leather goods and luggage industry expects challenging second half
Falling sales and imports in the first half of 2024 show the difficult moment the German leather goods industry is experiencing, with little hope of a turnaround in the second half of the year
Germany Retail: dark clouds are hanging again over the footwear sector
The positive signs on the horizon for the footwear retail sector reported in the previous Flash were short-lived. Sales in the first half of the year were not what retailers had hoped for, and the continued stabilisation of shoe prices shows no signs of turning the situation around. Against a negative macroeconomic backdrop, consumer confidence has been downward, and retailers face many challenges, including business closures and labour market instability. Footwear imports have started to fall, pointing to a possible crisis in the sector
US holiday retail sales expected to rise up to 3.3% in 2024
Consulting firm Deloitte forecasts that holiday retail sales will increase between 2.3% and 3.3% in 2024, driven by a projected 7% to 9% growth in e-commerce as consumers continue to shift to online
Spain Retail: the future looks brighter for retail
Fashion sales finally picked up in July and August and are back in the green, after a worrying March. The truth is that the prospect of better economic growth and recent falls in inflation and unemployment have reassured Spanish consumers and given them a sense that the future may be brighter. All in all, this has led retailers to stock up in the hope that sales will continue to rise in the coming months. If these factors remain in place, the footwear sector is likely to end the year on a positive note-
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