World Footwear

World Footwear Retail Flash Reports

Japan Retail: apparel and footwear retail will hardly remain safe amidst such troubling waters

Premium ContentNov 15, 2022 / Japan
The further easing of COVID-19 border control measures brought tourists back to the stores, but the anticipated consumption-led recovery is being curbed by the high wholesale inflation, as the weak yen is inflating the costs of imports. On the other end, if the yen depreciation is fostering exports, the fear of a global economic slowdown is a bearer of bad news. Both the Apparel & Accessories Retail and the Consumer Confidence indicator are currently trending down, and not to increase prices is no longer an option. As for online commerce, now that the pandemic boosting effect is over, the competitiveness between this channel and physical retail is at stake, however, it is yet soon to claim a winner

US Retail: not all news are bad for retail

Premium ContentNov 8, 2022 / United States
The available data suggests that retailers made sure to fill up their stocks this year, most likely causing supply to outstrip demand. But while demand may have slowed down, mainly due to high inflation, spending has not ceased, and retailers are expected to increase their promotions through the end of the year to dispose of marked-down excess inventory. Consumer confidence indicators are somewhat mixed, but it is safe to assume that, at least, it has stopped bleeding. In fact, the contrast with European consumers is clear, showing that US shoppers are less sensitive to the geopolitical risks concerning the ongoing war in Ukraine. Meanwhile, though slowly, footwear prices increases are starting to decelerate

Germany Retail: after a surprising summer, retail might not be able to withhold the impacts of recession

Premium ContentNov 1, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
The analysis of both TCF (Textile, Clothing, & Footwear) Retail Index and footwear imports show that German consumers chose “to enjoy the present before it is too late”. In July, retail trade was still healthy enough to accommodate the price increases caused, first, by the impact of the pandemic on the global supply, and then, by the skyrocketing of energy prices following the Ukraine crisis, not to mention the high inflation. However, given the free fall of consumers’ and retailers’ confidence observed since March, additional uncertainties are expected to arise throughout Autumn. Furthermore, despite all gains observed in the recent past, the online seems to be losing some track, and the macroeconomic environment will not be an ally during the second half of 2022

Spain Retail: footwear retail fears the end of the year on account of macroeconomic uncertainty

Premium ContentOct 28, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Looking exclusively into the available evidence from the comparison between the monthly behaviour of footwear imports and the TCF (Textile, Clothing, & Footwear) Retail Index in Spain, as well as the TCF Retail Indicator by Eurostat, there are not yet red lights on the retail side, so far. But, as more consumers struggle to make ends meet with high inflation and increases in gas and electricity, footwear retail is expected to soon be a victim of the need to divert from non-essentials. Meanwhile, online sales appear to have stabilized, so, with the COVID-19 influence out of the picture, it is up to retailers to continue investing in this channel, where there is much yet to be done

France Retail: news are not uplifting footwear retail

Premium ContentOct 19, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
The Footwear Retail Sales Index (by BdF) reached in July its lower score in thirteen months in a row, and data from imports from the same month which will most likely make importers revise their decisions to the downside after the increasing value available for june. Despite a slight relief in consumer confidence in August due to Governmental aid, the increase in prices left little space in the wallet for discretionary footwear purchases. Meanwhile, online retail seems to have gained about 50 percentage points in 30 months in France, but data does not allow us yet to conclude whether the footwear segment shares this performance

UK Retail: the second quarter might have been the lull before the storm

Premium ContentOct 5, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Despite a 6 percentage points gain in the TCF (Textile, Clothing, & Footwear) Retail Sales Index in the second quarter of 2022, over the prior one, and a positive trajectory in footwear imports, prospects do not look good for retail. Amidst skyrocketing inflation and the worst consumer sentiment since 1974, the footwear consumer can barely afford further price increases, making the retail volume tilted to the downside. With the threat of a recession from the fourth quarter on, the majority of retailers believe that the cost-of-living crisis will be almost twice as damaging as the COVID-19 pandemic

Japan Retail: imported inflation troubles retail despite positive signs on consumer mood

Premium ContentJul 18, 2022 / Japan
Despite positive signs regarding the consumers’ mood, which is leading the BoJ to focus on boosting domestic demand, retailers are facing imported inflation unseen for decades. So, as the yen sinks, it is more accurate to wonder whether Japanese companies’ margins can resist for much longer to fully pass on rising costs to consumers. In addition, the sanctions imposed following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will certainly take a toll on retail, alongside persistent supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic, even as the country moves away from those times. Since expenses on energy and food cannot be readily cut, the slack demand for footwear already observed is far from being a surprise

US Retail: consumer confidence collapses while footwear retail slowly loses its drive

Premium ContentJul 12, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Despite the declining trend of the monthly shoe store retail sales and persistent macroeconomic headwinds such as supply chain disruptions and the continuous rise of inflation, US companies are displaying some optimism towards the remaining year. That is not the same as saying there is no caution or concerns on the horizon. The pace of the increase in footwear prices is in fact slowing, suggesting that the pressure of demand might be no more at work in the US. The critical point is that consumer confidence collapsed due to inflation and the war in Ukraine, which might restrain consumer spending this year

Germany Retail: war and inflation raise concerns for retail

Premium ContentJul 1, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Despite the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions in February, the declining trend of the TCF (Textile, Clothing, and Footwear) Retail Sales Index is clear and is aligned with the plunge in consumer confidence. The war in Ukraine and the high inflation are playing a major role in the severe blow inflicted on both consumers’ and retailers’ confidence. Meanwhile, footwear consumer prices have slightly increased in March, and it is foreseeable that companies continue passing on higher costs to consumers in the near future

Spain Retail: sales increase in the first quarter despite tricky macro-environment

Premium ContentJun 22, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Following an abrupt drop in consumers’ confidence in March due to the war in Ukraine, on top of an alarming inflationary climate, Spanish consumers appear to regard the current situation as temporary. In fact, retail sales of clothes and accessories have increased by 19.1% in the entire first quarter of 2022, despite less generous discounts thanks to this year’s cost inflation. Margin protection is certainly at the top of retailers’ agenda now. Meanwhile, the online and physical retail are somehow at a truce

France Retail: retailers’ confidence sank in the first quarter of 2022

Premium ContentJun 15, 2022 / France
Despite the Eurostat TCF (Textile, Clothing and Footwear) suggesting the return of retail to normalcy, there are red signs undermining not only consumers’ confidence, but also the retailers’ one, who before had displayed some insensitivity towards risks. Surging energy prices, inflationary pressure and the war in Ukraine are overshadowing any boost from an easing of COVID-19 restrictions. The subsequent increase in costs does make us wonder why TCF retail is not in the red yet

UK Retail: retail prospects for the next months lean to the downside

Premium ContentJun 8, 2022 / United Kingdom
In the first quarter of 2022, TCF (Textile, Clothing & Footwear) Retail Sales Index returned to pre-pandemic levels, showing that it is no longer sensitive to COVID-19. However, its positive behaviour is somewhat puzzling: consumer pessimism continues to plunge, most likely due to the rising inflation, which hit a record 7% in March, placing pressure on manufacturers’ costs. In addition, it is yet early to quantify the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on European retail markets

Japan Retail: retail prospects are again at stake

Premium ContentApr 4, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
Hope for a return to normality in March, following the lift of the quasi-emergency restrictions imposed to control the Omicron-variant outbreak at the end of 2021, appears to be off the picture. The impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on households and companies, which is prompting a hike in commodities and food prices, can no longer be discarded. Most likely, the footwear retail growth momentum of the final months of last year will not be accompanied by an increase in prices to avoid scaring away consumers, whose confidence suffered yet another blow in front of the international conjuncture

US Retail: COVID-19 is no longer a concern for footwear retail

Premium ContentMar 25, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
The monthly shoe stores retail trajectory shows that footwear retail has begun to disregard any COVID-19 related concerns since the second quarter of 2021. However, there are other worries on the horizon. Consumers’ mood has been trailing a downwards trend, hitting the lowest value in January. At the same time, prices have been quickly increasing since September, and the global impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine might contribute to undermining future retail prospects

Germany retail: COVID-19 still looms on retail performance

Premium ContentMar 18, 2022 / World Footwear Reports
As of December 2021, the German TCF retail index is far from providing a crystal-clear reading. A sudden improvement in the last month of the year contrasts with mixed feelings on confidence and insights from various sources. The decline in footwear prices during that month, despite the unexpected inflation surge by 5.3%, adds up as another contradictory sign. While the picture is not quite transparent yet, it is safe to presume that the online shopping category is leaning towards pandemic-neutral growth
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