US opens new chapter in USMCA negotiations after declining renewal

The US administration has declined to renew the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) in its current form. This will launch a new phase of negotiations while keeping the North American trade pact in force
The decision follows the mandatory six-year review of the agreement and marks the start of a 10-year countdown to its expiry, unless the three countries unanimously agree to renew or amend the deal during the annual reviews.
Introduced in 2020 to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) covers one of the world’s largest free trade areas, underpinning highly integrated supply chains across manufacturing industries, including automotive, textiles, and footwear.
The agreement updated NAFTA by introducing new rules on digital trade, labour standards and automotive production, while maintaining duty-free trade for most qualifying goods.
According to US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, the administration is seeking changes to address the US’s persistent trade deficits with Canada and Mexico, as well as to strengthen North American manufacturing. Upcoming talks with Mexico are expected to focus on tighter rules of origin, as well as measures to reinforce regional supply chains and economic security.
Reportedly, the proposed changes include increasing regional content requirements for vehicles and introducing stricter US content thresholds. This reflects the administration’s broader strategy of reshoring manufacturing and reducing dependence on overseas suppliers.
Both Canada and Mexico have signalled their willingness to extend the agreement, emphasising that negotiations will continue. However, officials have warned that a prolonged period of annual reviews could create uncertainty for businesses and discourage investment across North America’s manufacturing base.
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