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Brazilian footwear production expected to grow by between 1.4% and 2.2% in 2025

Jun 12, 2025 Brazil

Brazilian footwear production is expected to grow by between 1.4% and 2.2% in 2025, says Abicalçados, driven primarily by the domestic market. Still, the current global economy may favour exports

Brazilian footwear production is expected to grow by between 1.4% and 2.2% by 2025, with an estimated 942-949 million pairs being produced. Of these, around 100 million pairs of shoes are expected to be exported, reflecting an increase of between 1.2% and 4.1%.

These figures were presented in the latest Scenario Analysis, an online presentation by the Brazilian Footwear Industries Association (Abicalçados). Priscila Linck, coordinator of Market Intelligence, and Marcos Lélis, economics doctor, also shed light on the Brazilian and international economic environments.

According to Lélis, the world economy is expected to grow by around 3% in 2025, even in the face of international instability caused by the tariff war between the United States and China. The IMF predicts that China’s GDP will grow by 4%, while the US economy is expected to grow by just 1.8%, a figure which could fall, given the 0.3% drop in US GDP in the first quarter.

However, the Brazilian economy is expected to grow by 2% this year, a figure that, unlike the US projection, should be higher. “We should end up with growth of around 2.5%”, forecasts the economist.

Reflections of the growth of the Brazilian economy should be seen in the footwear industry, since over 85% of the sector’s sales are in the domestic market. Having grown by 4.3% in 2024, with production reaching 929 million pairs – the highest figure in 11 years – the sector is expected to remain anchored in the domestic market in 2025.

“Apparent consumption is expected to grow by between 1.8% and 2.5% in 2025. However, unlike last year when exports fell by 17.7%, we also expect to see an increase in the international market of between 1.2% and 4.1%, with more than 100 million pairs being exported”, concludes Priscila.

Image Credits: brazilianfootwear.com

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